Some one asked me in Quora as to why is Shiv Sena opposing the Note Ban Orders of Govt of India.
My response is one need not necessarily hold an illegal bank account abroad to oppose Modi or BJP.
Any
politician, who is not associated with BJP, and does not believe in its
policies, shall oppose, sometimes one may be right, reasonable, and
logical, and at times, it may be simply opposition for sake of opposing
and even when one is not sure of one’s own stand.
Here
the situation is piquant since Shiv Sena and BJP are allies, share
power, and also have almost similar policies and political agenda.
Hence, it is strange to often see them quarreling with each other.
Mostly, it is not even an open fight but only pin pricks, and mostly one
sided attacks launched by Shiv Sena (and even MNS) against BJP, and few
of its actions / policies. Despite the open squabbles, their alliance
has been working well.
Basically, it may be
seen that Shiv Sena is struggling to preserve its own existence and the
oft repeated attacks arise due to their fear of being ousted by BJP from
their strongholds, of being ignored, and completely forgotten by the
people. They are scared of the voters shifting loyalty to BJP in near
future, and it is their way to stay alive in peoples’ memory.
This
is not to say that Shiv Sena is not an independent party. It is just
that they are in awe of BJP, and particularly, in view of Mr Modi
emerging as a popular leader of masses. This forces Shiv Sena to keep
signalling its own existence, its right to differ, and to oppose.
If
we look back at the background of Shiv Sena, including its estranged
sibling MNS, we see that the party was initially concentrated only in
Island City of Mumbai, and did not have much impact on the mainland
Maharashtra. Its initial objective was to protect the local Marathi
speaking people from being dominated by the influx of migrants, who have
regularly been flocking to Mumbai from all over the country, and have
gradually taken away the job opportunities that would have otherwise
probably gone to the local people.
Shiv Sena
and BJP came together for the first time in 1989, with the unspoken but
strong efforts of RSS which is also based at Nagpur in Maharashtra. RSS
has been founded by Marathi speaking leaders and its current leadership
is also dominated by Marathi people.
In forging
an alliance with BJP, Shiv Sena saw an opportunity to benefit from the
strong network of RSS cadres who used to work tirelessly for BJP in
elections. Their alliance had formed the first Non Congress Govt of
Maharashtra in 1995. To its credit, BJP gracefully accepted a
subordinate role and never fought for the spoils of power, However, lack
of mutual trust and constructive cooperation, had kept these two
parties away from power.
It may be added here
that often BJP has played a similar subordinate role in almost all its
alliances at state level. It is seen in an alliance it has with Akalis
in Punjab, in an alliance it had with JDU of Bihar till Nitish Kumar
walked away, and in alliance with PDP in J&K.
Strangely,
in Uttar Pradesh, BJP had even supported its rivals Mulayam Singh Yadav
and Mayawati to become CM (a number of times) till they reneged on
their parts of bargain.
This strategy has
helped BJP to grow in stature in public opinion, and its rise in Haryana
is the latest example of people rewarding it for its patience. Almost
all the regional parties supported by BJP have betrayed it at once or
more, but the people can see the difference.
However,
the current leadership of BJP, with Mr Modi and his confidant Amit
Shah, being in command, is not willing to yield too much to the regional
parties and to local satraps. Shiv Sena has already tasted it during
the last assembly elections. Shiv Sena had driven a hard bargain for
distribution of seats, leading to break up of the alliance. Shiv Sena
was forced to re-join the alliance, after BJP emerged as the bigger
winner and Shiv Sena lost the chance of having its own CM. Next time, it
will have to accept whatever crumbs BJP offers.
In
view of the aforesaid, the opposition to currency note ban by Shiv Sena
and even MNS, may be seen as an expression of their independent
existence, and as the ploy comes after seeing long queues of people at
banks and ATMs, there may be a popularity angle as well.
And
then the note ban orders have come along with the local body elections,
in which BJP and Shiv Sena and MNS have been fiercely competing against
each other at several places.
Now a word for
BJP too. As its Chief Minister has been facing opposition even from
within the party itself, and also from several other fronts, it has to
keep a tight leash or else, the advantage it has for now might diminish
and the local parties like Shiv Sena, MNS, and NCP - Congress alliance
might grow strong by the end of the term of its present regime.
I
hope Shiv Sena, and its estranged sibling MNS, will not become strident
opponents of Modi and BJP like AAP, TMC, and assorted Communists and
Communal parties.
Also, there is another
interesting angle to the BJP Shiv Sena squabbles. It keeps both the
parties in media focus and others like Congress and NCP go in to the
blind zone. And like in films, in politics too, it is better to remain
in news, good or bad, rather than being ignored and forgotten. After
all, like films, Shiv Sena too hails from Mumbai.
Incidentally,
have you ever seen BJP leaders responding strongly to the barbs by AAP.
The answer is No. BJP defends itself and laughs at AAP but never
condemns it strongly. This is because AAP attacks keep them in news and
it keeps Congress in dark zone.
Lastly, about
note bandi kanoon, while I am a strong supporter of the policy, and
evidence of it is strewn around on Quora and also on my write ups in
Blogshree, but somehow the acute misery being caused to the poor people
does call for urgent remedial measures, and Govt of India, PM, FM, RBI,
Finance Ministry, Banks, BJP, NDA, can not get away from the anger that
may eventually unleash if and when the peoples’ patience runs out. One
hopes the situation would improve well before any such thing happens.
Please Beware.